DVD will out number everything else for 6-10 years easily.

Yeah, options are nice, but DVD isn't going anywhere anytime soon.

Very true, i don't want to pay hundreds of dollars for a Blu-ray or HD DVD player when i can use what i already have, and why pay so much per disc when almost every DVD is under $20? Besides, i think it is great that CSS is so ineffective.

Originally posted by ZippyDSM:

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DVD will out number everything else for 6-10 years easily.

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This one's hard to argue with complete conviction..............but I slightly disagree. 10 years?? Not a chance in Hell. 6 years?? Maybe. In 2 years the HD disc formats will be fully launched and going strong. I could potentially see 6 years until standard DVD is overcome ............. which is a long time either way so I AGREE with Zippy. But the "iffy" part is when. HD discs (Blu-ray, HD-DVD) just BLOOOOOOWWW DVD out of the way in terms of sound, clarity, brightness, sharpness, etc. I mean BLOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOWWW away!! It's just as noticeable a difference as SDTV to HDTV, NOT THE SAME DIFFERENCE, I only mean just as noticeable so those who want pristine disc watching and rentals will swarm to high definition optical discs. I know I will.

Quote:

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Originally posted by ZippyDSM:

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DVD will out number everything else for 6-10 years easily.

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This one's hard to argue with complete conviction..............but I slightly disagree. 10 years?? Not a chance in Hell. 6 years?? Maybe. In 2 years the HD disc formats will be fully launched and going strong. I could potentially see 6 years until standard DVD is overcome ............. which is a long time either way so I AGREE with Zippy. But the "iffy" part is when. HD discs (Blu-ray, HD-DVD) just BLOOOOOOWWW DVD out of the way in terms of sound, clarity, brightness, sharpness, etc. I mean BLOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOWWW away!! It's just as noticeable a difference as SDTV to HDTV, NOT THE SAME DIFFERENCE, I only mean just as noticeable so those who want pristine disc watching and rentals will swarm to high definition optical discs. I know I will.

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Past 5 years digital distribution could surge leaving disc formats in the dust.

Becuse of price and rebuying discs and buying better equipment to enjoy ion.....BR/HDVD will have a hard time booming, sure I think they will capture half(ish) the market but I do not think they will make it past a 30-50% saturation point.

Although the article quoted "DVD" and not HD-DVD or Blu-Ray, I still read it as meaning all forms of DVD (the disc itself). I could be wrong, but Netflix is in the business of renting movies, so whether they're mailing standard DVD or high definition DVD, they're still getting business. I assume the bigger concern is what's going to happen to Netflix once people quit having any form of media shipped to their house? I think this is why they're now offering online rentals. However, is this going to be lucrative enough to keep them in business? I suppose only time will tell.

That guy's quote is the best thing since sliced bread.

I disagree Zippy. Online distribution probably will gain in popularity, but to think that everyone is willing to download a movie and burn it themselves is crazy. Lots of older people don't know how or don't trust that it will work right and the rest like the pretty pictures that they put on the box or just want a box to put it in instead of a big cd wallet that you would have to store them all in.

Originally posted by wetsparks:

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I disagree Zippy. Online distribution probably will gain in popularity, but to think that everyone is willing to download a movie and burn it themselves is crazy. Lots of older people don't know how or don't trust that it will work right and the rest like the pretty pictures that they put on the box or just want a box to put it in instead of a big cd wallet that you would have to store them all in.

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Its going to take 100$ 25inch LCD HD TVs and 100$ or under disc players to saturate the market enough for the players to take over DVD this is more likely to happen in 10 years give or take 3 than 5 years.

Now in that time if digital can hit the right price range as well as population saturation it could easily cause big media to drop or halve costly physical media distribution, altho its more likely this happens in 10-15 years with that said HD discs are looking to have a shorter life span than DVD.

Until downloaded discs and or files do NOT have DRM, time limits and crappy formats less then even DVD, I do not see any threat to physical discs for a looong time. USA ISP's seem stagnant in offering and providing the necessary BW for such to happen even if Digital downloads were a TRUE alternative to physical discs. The stockholders do not want to increase BW unless it is for proprietary video to make a buck, not to actually increase the dismal showing of USA Internet. USA internet will be hard pressed to even keep up with everyday growing demands on internet video. Much less an increase in pipeline that would allow the demand for flics you pie in the sky people are dreaming of. We're a joke amongst the rest of the world. Don't think because you are a techie means the Industry is going to provide the means without MUCH investment. How much are you willing to pay?

Originally posted by JRude:

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Until downloaded discs and or files do NOT have DRM, time limits and crappy formats less then even DVD, I do not see any threat to physical discs for a looong time. USA ISP's seem stagnant in offering and providing the necessary BW for such to happen even if Digital downloads were a TRUE alternative to physical discs. The stockholders do not want to increase BW unless it is for proprietary video to make a buck, not to actually increase the dismal showing of USA Internet. USA internet will be hard pressed to even keep up with everyday growing demands on internet video. Much less an increase in pipeline that would allow the demand for flics you pie in the sky people are dreaming of. We're a joke amongst the rest of the world. Don't think because you are a techie means the Industry is going to provide the means without MUCH investment. How much are you willing to pay?

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Is only recently they have started to move to a pay by bandwidth gimmick, if they move to that then yes digital distribution will be set back 10 years, but they get off their asses and join with big media who already own half of them they can create a streamlined digital distribution system.........oh who am I kidding capitalism unbounded will ensure digi distro is on ice for 20 years.

Yes, not to worry...BiLL and The Industry are converting the Internet to the Entertainment Industry's Private Distribution System....They have DEEP pockets and can secure the necessary legality to hijack it...but! With their ineptness it's not a near worry except for high aggravation ...just invest in Vaseline stock! ;- )

Originally posted by JRude:

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Yes, not to worry...BiLL and The Industry are converting the Internet to the Entertainment Industry's Private Distribution System....They have DEEP pockets and can secure the necessary legality to hijack it...but! With their ineptness it's not a near worry except for high aggravation ...just invest in Vaseline stock! ;- )

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so is true...the world revolves around porn!

it is kind of sad, but pornography seems the be a major part of the the movie (technology) industry which dictates the market.

The fact is that the renting of DVD's will never stop just that the technology will change the renting will stay the same.