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Analysts warn movie downloading is still in its infancy

7 February 2005 7:29 by James "Dela" Delahunty | 3 comments

Analysts warn movie downloading is still in its infancy Analysts have warned the movie industry that movie downloading is still in its infancy. They said the movie studios have to offer much more digital movies online for sale to deter people from downloading movies illegally. Forrester said that of the 5% of the online population, who have downloaded a movie, one in three have downloaded at least three movies in the last three months.

"The profile of movie downloaders is similar to that of the early music downloaders, so it's time to ring the alarm bells," the analyst firm stated. They recommended that the movie industries go after the P2P networks and the illicit services that offer movies illegally and work on an alternative for consumers to purchase DRM-protected movies over the Internet.

Forrester warns that developments in digital video technology, like the DivX and XviD codecs, and developments in Peer-to-Peer technology like BitTorrent are set to fuel further movie downloading. The movies industry likely see's some of the problems in offering movie content to users, for example the sheer size of good quality downloads. A decent quality DivX download could be 700MB and would fit nicely on a CD-R. If they got millions of customers, they would require a massive amount of bandwidth and a huge system that would probably take a long time to piece together.

I think we all also know that there's probably no way that the movie industry would prove the potential of BitTorrent by using it to distribute movies legally. Technically it wouldn't be that hard to implement a system where you pay for a torrent file and access to a movie studio's tracker, but then they would be proving the one key factor that keeps programs like BitTorrent legal; that it has legitimate purposes.

Source:
Vnunetwork


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    daemonzx6 (Senior Member) 7 February 2005 10:42 Send private message to this user   
    exactly "DRM-Protected." I will never legally purchase a movie or music file online as long as they use DRM. They would probably use some crappy codec like .wmv anyway...
    zomer (Newbie) 7 February 2005 12:18 Send private message to this user   
    Idd, legal movie sharing won't work! At least not yet, maybe in some years when internet speeds have rissen dramatically to support the amount of users they would get... But not yet!
    ashroy01 (Senior Member) 7 February 2005 16:10 Send private message to this user   
    Movie downloading IS still in its infancy, but it's more difficult than downloading music.

    movie (divx) : 700MB
    album (mp3) : 75MB

    In fact, if sharing 700MB were so easy, people would have been dowloading .WAV files a long time ago.

    Download speeds have to increase for movies to be more easily shared and Hollywood knows this.
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