Aon Terrorism Threat Map Shows Shift in Sphere of Conflict


LONDON and CHICAGO, June 2 /PRNewswire/ --

- The Next Generation: the re-emergence of traditional ideologies

A shift in Islamist terrorist activity from the Middle East to South Asia
is the primary feature of the Aon 2009 Terrorism Threat Map, launched today
by Aon Crisis Management. The map shows a trend towards fewer terrorist 
attacks in the Middle East but increased activity in Pakistan, India and
Afghanistan, with Thailand and Nepal also showing higher levels of activity.

(Logo: http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20041215/CGW049LOGO)

The Aon 2009 Terrorism Threat Map, produced in coordination with security
consultancy firm Janusian, is derived from data recorded on a new 'Terrorism
Tracker' database*, which tracks global levels of terrorist activity, 
including attacks, plots, communiques and government countermeasures. It 
represents a snapshot of terrorist groups' intent and capability and provides 
an indication of the current threat of attack in each country.

Another key trend from this year's analysis is the re-emergence of
terrorist groups with more traditional ideological leanings. Craig Preston,
executive director at Aon, explained: "Our analysis shows the re-emergence of 
groups like the communist Shining Path in Peru and a revolutionary anarchist 
movement in Greece.

"In a global recession it is not inconceivable that a new generation of
terrorists will emerge from disaffected communities in a re-emergence of
class-based politics. This raises the prospect of new terrorist groups
forming in the developed world on the far right and far left of the
ideological spectrum. With the election of a more liberal President in the
U.S., it is possible we may see an uplift in activity from domestic far right
and militia groups."

Aon's 2009 Terrorism Threat Map also shows a more settled outlook for
North America, Europe and Australia. Craig explained: "Although the prospect
of a major terrorist attack in a Western country is ever present, and there 
are signs of more sophisticated plots, we have noted that in recent years 
such attacks have not come to pass. While evidence of plots emerges from 
time to time, there is often a protracted timeframe between them, and we are 
unlikely to see the frequency of attacks in Western countries that we might 
have expected a few years ago. We attribute this to better counter-terrorism 
capability and some shift of focus among terrorist groups towards 
establishing new fronts in places like Pakistan and Somalia. In general, 
operating conditions for terrorists have become more difficult in Western 
countries as well as in some Middle Eastern countries, such as Saudi Arabia."

The past year has highlighted the tenacity of leftist/Maoist activity in
India and Nepal. Outside India little attention is paid to the activities of
the rural conflict in the north east part of the country but Maoist
terrorists have become amongst the most prolific in the world. The recent
Indian elections led to a significant spike in attacks; in April 2009, 65
terrorist incidents were recorded there.

"Businesses can mitigate a terrorism threat by implementing a
proportionate security risk management scheme to identify and reduce the
vulnerabilities to personnel and business assets based on an expert risk
assessment," Craig added. "Firms also can transfer their risk through an
appropriate insurance policy to reduce the impact of any such attack."

A copy of the 2009 Terrorism Threat Map can be requested from
http://www.aon.com/

For more information contact:
    Reuben Aitchison
    +44-(0)20-7086-7201
    reuben.aitchison@aon.co.uk
    http://aon.mediaroom.com



The Terrorism Threat Map 2009

Terrorism threat is defined as an assessment of the intent, capability
and likelihood of terrorists to stage attacks. The assessments in this
Terrorism Threat Map 2009 draw upon empirical data and open source
intelligence from the Terrorism Tracker online database.

Terrorism Tracker* records all global terrorist attacks and plots, as
well other threat indicators such as terrorist group communiques,
counter-terrorist actions and government threat warnings.

Using this data, a panel of analysts from Janusian has assigned threat
levels by scoring each country according to the following threat indicators
for 2009:

- Evidence of known and active groups or networks operating in a given
      country.
    - Their aims and stated objectives.
    - Their track record of terrorist activity, including target selection
      and activity levels.
    - Their operational capabilities to stage attacks.
    - The likely erosion of terrorist capabilities through the current
      counter-terrorism regime in the given country.



* A collaboration between Aon and Janusian, Terrorism Tracker is a set of
tools to help businesses assess and manage terrorism risk. At its core is the
Terrorism Tracker database, which allows subscribers to conduct their own
research on terrorist activity around the world and display their results
using Google Maps.

The database informs Janusian's ratings for the annual Aon Terrorism
Threat map and supports a monthly newsletter available to Aon's clients.

About Aon

Aon Corporation (NYSE: AOC) is the leading global provider of risk
management services, insurance and reinsurance brokerage, and human capital
consulting. Through its more than 37,000 colleagues worldwide, Aon readily
delivers distinctive client value via innovative and effective risk
management and workforce productivity solutions. Aon's industry-leading
global resources and technical expertise are delivered locally through more
than 500 offices in more than 120 countries. Named the world's best broker by
Euromoney magazine's 2008 and 2009 Insurance Survey, Aon also ranked highest
on Business Insurance's listing of the world's largest insurance brokers
based on commercial retail, wholesale, reinsurance and personal lines
brokerage revenues in 2008. A.M. Best deemed Aon the number one insurance
broker based on brokerage revenues in 2007 and 2008, and Aon was voted best
insurance intermediary, best reinsurance intermediary and best employee
benefits consulting firm in 2007 and 2008 by the readers of Business
Insurance. For more information on Aon, log onto http://www.aon.com/.

Sign up to receive Aon news alerts by email or RSS feed at:
http://aon.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=58.

Safe Harbour Statement: http://aon.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=67

Aon Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services
Authority in respect of insurance mediation activities only.

About Janusian

Janusian provides security consultancy and services to multinational
companies and other large organizations. The Janusian team comprises
intelligence analysts and security specialists who co-operate closely to
ensure that our advice is appropriate to the threats our clients encounter
and their business needs Janusian's sister company Risk Advisory offers
intelligence and investigations services. These include integrity due
diligence, strategic intelligence, asset tracing, fraud investigations,
system assurance and employee screening.

© PR Newswire Association LLC.

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