Analysts estimate a million unlocked iPhones in the U.S.

Rich Fiscus
28 Jan 2008 23:12

A recent announcement from Apple regarding iPhone sales stirred up contreversy due to much lower numbers being activated for use with AT&T's wireless network. With a discrepency of nearly 1.5 million phones it's easy to see why people would be interested in the reason. According to analysts at Bernstein Reasearch, nearly a third of the phones are in AT&T's hands waiting to be sold. That leaves around 1 million, which are believed to be unlocked to work on networks other than AT&T.
Although neither Apple nor AT&T have had any comment on the analysts' estimates, it's clearly not something either company is happy with. As the only official network for iPhones in the U.S., AT&T splits fees collected for them with Apple. Every phone on a different provider's network is lost revenue for both companies.
"Besides the financial implications, we believe the prevalence of unlocked iPhones presents a significant strategic dilemma to Apple," Bernstein Research analyst Toni Sacconaghi wrote.
Although many analysts had previously estimated the number of iPhones operating on "unauthorized" networks at around 20%, if these new figures are accurate it's closer to 30%. That means in order to reach the amount of revenue originally expected for the 10 million iPods Apple has consistently projected they'll sell by the end of this year they might have to sell closer to 12 million.

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