UK Retail Downturn Only Just Begun


LONDON, January 8 /PRNewswire/ --     Despite some better than expected figures this week from leading British
retailers such as Debenhams and Next, retail analyst Nick Bubb at Pali
International says the outlook is both "gloomy" and "depressing" and the
downturn has only just started.

In an interview on Cantos, the financial broadcaster, Mr Bubb said UK
retailers had seen two good weeks over Christmas but that full price
retailing had died.

"That's a very worrying development at a time when prices are going to
start to have to go up again in non-food. Unemployment is a serious worry for
many consumers and the housing market is in freefall. So I fear the downturn
has only just begun."

Mr Bubb said with confidence sliding away and low interest rates seeming
to have had little impact on spending the second half of the year would be
disappointing with the gloom to continue well into 2010.

Looking at the outlook for listed retailers he said small fashion
retailers looked vulnerable while large food retailers - those with 'massive
clout' such as Tesco and Sainsbury's - were better placed.

"They're extremely good at hyping up what they do in terms of price
promotions, but they never see margins fall, so they're in a pretty good
position in terms of the relative strength of retailers versus suppliers."

The interview and transcript are available now on http://www.cantos.com.

It's free to view. All you need to do is register at
http://www.cantos.com. Cantos.com, the online financial broadcaster, features
in-depth interviews, documentaries and webcasts with senior company
executives. If you would like to contact us, please email
enquiries@cantos.com or phone +44-207-936-1333.

© PR Newswire Association LLC.

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